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Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.551 equity (80.1% win probability) against Titans at 0.396 — a real gap of 0.155.

LAC team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs ARIOpponentvs NYJ

80.1%Win prob52.6%

0.551Equity score0.396

−9.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

47.5Game total38.5

▲ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 15 meetings · LAC 12 — TEN 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1536.9ELO rating1362.6

#11ELO rank#32

11-6Record3-14

AFC WestDivisionAFC South

#2Division rank#4

L 13 · L 16 · L 4 · W +17 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

12.6 · #2vs QB19.0 · #28

18.7 · #3vs RB21.6 · #14

27.4 · #11vs WR35.6 · #28

10.5 · #4vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.78 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

8Pressures / game9.06

15-16Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.2% · #19Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

11.5% · #14Play action9.9% · #24

2.0% · #27RPO8.6% · #3

2.8% · #25Screen pass5.7% · #2

3.9% · #25No huddle8.2% · #9

59.0% · #10Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

23.6% · #27Man coverage27.1% · #22

22.1% · #27Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

31.3% · #12Pressure29.5% · #21

LAC scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Bud DupreeLinebackerQuestionable
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Dez FitzpatrickWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Donte JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
Elijah MoldenCornerbackOut

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(mentions Chargers)