NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.551 equity (80.1% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.362 — a real gap of 0.189.

LAC team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs ARIOpponentvs NE
80.1%Win prob47.4%
0.551Equity score0.362
−9.5Spread11/4 books−0.0
47.5Game total29.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 4LAC @ SEAnot played yet

All-time series: 12 meetings · LAC 5 — SEA 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1536.9ELO rating1630.6
#11ELO rank#1
11-6Record14-3
AFC WestDivisionNFC West
#2Division rank#1
L 13 · L 16 · L 4 · W +17 · W +3Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

12.6 · #2vs QB14.0 · #7
18.7 · #3vs RB19.0 · #4
27.4 · #11vs WR26.3 · #4
10.5 · #4vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.78 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)
8Pressures / game11.3
15-16Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.2% · #19Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13
11.5% · #14Play action10.7% · #20
2.0% · #27RPO1.9% · #28
2.8% · #25Screen pass2.6% · #29
3.9% · #25No huddle5.8% · #18
59.0% · #10Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

23.6% · #27Man coverage29.1% · #20
22.1% · #27Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30
31.3% · #12Pressure33.2% · #7
LAC scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
  • Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
  • Bradley BozemanCenterOut
  • Brenen ThompsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bud DupreeLinebackerQuestionable
  • Cam HartCornerbackOut
  • Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
  • Dez FitzpatrickWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Donte JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
  • Elijah MoldenCornerbackOut

Seattle Seahawks

  • AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
  • AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
  • Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
  • Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
  • Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam AkersRunning BackOut
  • Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
  • Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
  • Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
  • Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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