NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Los Angeles Chargers vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.265 equity (32.0% win probability) against Jets at 0.196 — a real gap of 0.068.

LAC team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs HOUOpponent@ KC
32.0%Win prob19.6%
0.265Equity score0.196
+5.5Spread11/11 books+10.0
40.5Game total47.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 11NYJ @ LACnot played yet

All-time series: 12 meetings · LAC 7 — NYJ 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1462.4ELO rating1393.2
#23ELO rank#31
0-7Record2-6
AFC WestDivisionAFC East
#4Division rank#3
L 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.5 · #8vs QB18.0 · #16
23.9 · #19vs RB21.8 · #17
30.6 · #14vs WR28.8 · #9
10.2 · #5vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.83 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)
7.67Pressures / game8.71
15-16Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.2% · #19Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7
11.5% · #14Play action8.6% · #29
2.0% · #27RPO7.1% · #8
2.8% · #25Screen pass3.4% · #17
3.9% · #25No huddle8.1% · #10
59.0% · #10Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

23.6% · #27Man coverage40.5% · #6
22.1% · #27Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13
31.3% · #12Pressure24.8% · #30
LAC scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Chargers

  • Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
  • Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
  • Bradley BozemanCenterOut
  • Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Cam HartCornerbackOut
  • Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
  • Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
  • Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

New York Jets

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
  • Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
  • Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
  • Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
  • Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
  • Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam JonesLinebackerOut
  • Chris Smith IISafetyOut
  • David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Track your real pool free — 10-day trial, no card →