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Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.270 equity (33.0% win probability) against Raiders at 0.188 — a real gap of 0.082.

LAC team page →LV team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs HOUOpponent@ SF

33.0%Win prob20.6%

0.270Equity score0.188

+5.0Spread11/11 books+10.0

40.5Game total52.0

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 2LV @ LAC26-14 · LV

Week 14LAC @ LVnot played yet

All-time series: 55 meetings · LAC 33 — LV 22. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1462.4ELO rating1432.0

#23ELO rank#29

0-7Record4-4

AFC WestDivisionAFC West

#4Division rank#3

L 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8Last 5newest firstW +5 · L 14 · L 3 · L 28 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.5 · #8vs QB19.8 · #23

23.9 · #19vs RB25.3 · #21

30.6 · #14vs WR33.8 · #19

10.2 · #5vs TE18.2 · #25

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.83 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)

7.67Pressures / game11.14

15-16Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows8-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.2% · #19Pre-snap motion41.4% · #22

11.5% · #14Play action12.4% · #9

2.0% · #27RPO3.2% · #23

2.8% · #25Screen pass4.1% · #12

3.9% · #25No huddle7.4% · #13

59.0% · #10Shotgun54.2% · #19

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

23.6% · #27Man coverage21.9% · #29

22.1% · #27Blitz (5+ rushers)22.4% · #26

31.3% · #12Pressure27.8% · #27

LAC scheme profile →LV scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Brock BowersTight EndOut
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darien PorterCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)