Compare

Los Angeles Chargers vs Las Vegas Raiders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.551 equity (80.1% win probability) against Raiders at 0.426 — a real gap of 0.125.

LAC team page →LV team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs ARIOpponentvs MIA

80.1%Win prob60.2%

0.551Equity score0.426

−9.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

47.5Game total40.5

▲ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 2LV @ LACnot played yet

Week 14LAC @ LVnot played yet

All-time series: 54 meetings · LAC 33 — LV 21. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1536.9ELO rating1373.0

#11ELO rank#31

11-6Record3-14

AFC WestDivisionAFC West

#2Division rank#4

L 13 · L 16 · L 4 · W +17 · W +3Last 5newest firstW +2 · L 24 · L 2 · L 31 · L 7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

12.6 · #2vs QB16.1 · #16

18.7 · #3vs RB23.4 · #21

27.4 · #11vs WR33.5 · #22

10.5 · #4vs TE10.1 · #2

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.78 (2025)Sacks / game2.12 (2025)

8Pressures / game6.76

15-16Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows8-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.2% · #19Pre-snap motion41.4% · #22

11.5% · #14Play action12.4% · #9

2.0% · #27RPO3.2% · #23

2.8% · #25Screen pass4.1% · #12

3.9% · #25No huddle7.4% · #13

59.0% · #10Shotgun54.2% · #19

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

23.6% · #27Man coverage21.9% · #29

22.1% · #27Blitz (5+ rushers)22.4% · #26

31.3% · #12Pressure27.8% · #27

LAC scheme profile →LV scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Bud DupreeLinebackerQuestionable
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Dez FitzpatrickWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Donte JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
Elijah MoldenCornerbackOut

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Ashton JeantyRBFull Participation in Practice
Brock BowersTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(mentions Chargers)