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Las Vegas Raiders vs Seattle Seahawks

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Raiders is the better survivor pick this week

Raiders score 0.426 equity (60.2% win probability) against Seahawks at 0.362 — a real gap of 0.065.

LV team page →SEA team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs MIAOpponentvs NE

60.2%Win prob47.4%

0.426Equity score0.362

−3.0Spread11/4 books−0.0

40.5Game total29.5

▲ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.163

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 10SEA @ LVnot played yet

All-time series: 12 meetings · LV 6 — SEA 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1373.0ELO rating1630.6

#31ELO rank#1

3-14Record14-3

AFC WestDivisionNFC West

#4Division rank#1

W +2 · L 24 · L 2 · L 31 · L 7Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +4 · W +35 · W +10 · W +17

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

16.1 · #16vs QB14.0 · #7

23.4 · #21vs RB19.0 · #4

33.5 · #22vs WR26.3 · #4

10.1 · #2vs TE14.7 · #21

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.8 (2025)

6.76Pressures / game11.3

8-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows12-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.4% · #22Pre-snap motion45.8% · #13

12.4% · #9Play action10.7% · #20

3.2% · #23RPO1.9% · #28

4.1% · #12Screen pass2.6% · #29

7.4% · #13No huddle5.8% · #18

54.2% · #19Shotgun37.9% · #31

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.9% · #29Man coverage29.1% · #20

22.4% · #26Blitz (5+ rushers)20.7% · #30

27.8% · #27Pressure33.2% · #7

LV scheme profile →SEA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Ashton JeantyRBFull Participation in Practice
Brock BowersTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Seattle Seahawks

AJ BarnerTEFull Participation in Practice
AJ FinleySafetyInjured Reserve
Amari KightOffensive TackleOut
Anthony BradfordGFull Participation in Practice
Brandon PiliDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam AkersRunning BackOut
Charles CrossOffensive TackleQuestionable
Chazz SurrattLinebackerOut
Cody WhiteWide ReceiverQuestionable
Connor O'TooleLinebackerOut
Dareke YoungWide ReceiverOut
Derick HallLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)