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Las Vegas Raiders vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Raiders play 49ers in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices SF carries the higher survivor equity score.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SFOpponentvs LV
20.4%Win prob79.6%
0.187Equity score0.563
+10.0Spread11/11 books−10.0
52.5Game total52.5
▲ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · Levi's Stadium

Matchup
LV @ SF
Spread (home)
−10.0 (11 books)
Total
52.5 (11 books)
Kickoff
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:05

Opened SF −8.5, now SF −10.0 · moved 1.5 toward SF · Total 46.5 → 52.5 (+6.0)(201 snapshots)

Forecast: 70.0°F · wind 4.2 mph · 0% precip · Clouds

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9LV @ SFnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · LV 2 — SF 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1432.0ELO rating1575.5
#29ELO rank#3
4-4Record6-1
AFC WestDivisionNFC West
#3Division rank#1
W +5 · L 14 · L 3 · L 28 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.8 · #23vs QB—
25.3 · #21vs RB—
33.8 · #19vs WR—
18.2 · #25vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)
11.14Pressures / game9.71
8-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.4% · #22Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2
12.4% · #9Play action10.8% · #17
3.2% · #23RPO0.6% · #31
4.1% · #12Screen pass3.0% · #23
7.4% · #13No huddle3.7% · #26
54.2% · #19Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.9% · #29Man coverage26.6% · #24
22.4% · #26Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25
27.8% · #27Pressure23.2% · #31

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Las Vegas Raiders

  • Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
  • AJ ColePunterQuestionable
  • Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
  • Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
  • Brock BowersTight EndOut
  • Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
  • Caleb RogersGuardOut
  • Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
  • Darien PorterCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

San Francisco 49ers

  • Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
  • Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
  • Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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