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Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Jets is the better survivor pick this week

Jets score 0.189 equity (19.7% win probability) against Raiders at 0.188 — a real gap of 0.000.

LV team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ SFOpponent@ KC

20.6%Win prob19.7%

0.188Equity score0.189

+10.0Spread11/11 books+10.0

52.0Game total47.5

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 8LV @ NYJ38-33 · LV

All-time series: 20 meetings · LV 12 — NYJ 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1432.0ELO rating1393.2

#29ELO rank#31

4-4Record2-6

AFC WestDivisionAFC East

#3Division rank#3

W +5 · L 14 · L 3 · L 28 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

19.8 · #23vs QB18.0 · #16

25.3 · #21vs RB21.8 · #17

33.8 · #19vs WR28.8 · #9

18.2 · #25vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.29 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)

11.14Pressures / game8.71

8-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.4% · #22Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7

12.4% · #9Play action8.6% · #29

3.2% · #23RPO7.1% · #8

4.1% · #12Screen pass3.4% · #17

7.4% · #13No huddle8.1% · #10

54.2% · #19Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.9% · #29Man coverage40.5% · #6

22.4% · #26Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13

27.8% · #27Pressure24.8% · #30

LV scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Brock BowersTight EndOut
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darien PorterCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

New York Jets

Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JonesLinebackerOut
Chris Smith IISafetyOut
David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)