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Las Vegas Raiders vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Raiders is the better survivor pick this week

Raiders score 0.426 equity (60.2% win probability) against Giants at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.103.

LV team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs MIAOpponentvs DAL

60.2%Win prob40.7%

0.426Equity score0.324

−3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

40.5Game total48.0

▲ 0.002Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 8 meetings · LV 3 — NYG 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1373.0ELO rating1390.8

#31ELO rank#28

3-14Record4-13

AFC WestDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#4

W +2 · L 24 · L 2 · L 31 · L 7Last 5newest firstW +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

16.1 · #16vs QB18.3 · #25

23.4 · #21vs RB25.8 · #29

33.5 · #22vs WR33.7 · #24

10.1 · #2vs TE11.4 · #8

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.24 (2025)

6.76Pressures / game8.41

8-14Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

41.4% · #22Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

12.4% · #9Play action10.8% · #18

3.2% · #23RPO9.3% · #2

4.1% · #12Screen pass3.1% · #20

7.4% · #13No huddle17.4% · #3

54.2% · #19Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.9% · #29Man coverage40.3% · #7

22.4% · #26Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

27.8% · #27Pressure30.2% · #17

LV scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Ashton JeantyRBFull Participation in Practice
Brock BowersTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)