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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Jaguars is the better survivor pick this week

Jaguars score 0.535 equity (77.6% win probability) against Titans at 0.391 — a real gap of 0.144.

JAX team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs CLEOpponentvs NYJ

77.6%Win prob52.8%

0.535Equity score0.391

−8.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

40.0Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 10JAX @ TENnot played yet

Week 12TEN @ JAXnot played yet

All-time series: 55 meetings · JAX 23 — TEN 32. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1528.9ELO rating1362.6

#14ELO rank#32

13-4Record3-14

AFC SouthDivisionAFC South

#1Division rank#4

L 3 · W +34 · W +6 · W +14 · W +28Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.9 · #15vs QB19.0 · #28

18.7 · #2vs RB21.6 · #14

31.2 · #17vs WR35.6 · #28

14.8 · #22vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.83 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

9.28Pressures / game9.06

5-5Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.1% · #12Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

10.2% · #22Play action9.9% · #24

3.6% · #21RPO8.6% · #3

3.8% · #15Screen pass5.7% · #2

6.1% · #16No huddle8.2% · #9

50.5% · #24Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

25.4% · #26Man coverage27.1% · #22

27.3% · #18Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

27.9% · #26Pressure29.5% · #21

JAX scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Jacksonville Jaguars

Andrew WingardSafetyOut
Anton HarrisonOffensive TackleOut
Arik ArmsteadDefensive EndQuestionable
Austin JohnsonDefensive TackleOut
Bhayshul TutenRunning BackOut
Brian Thomas Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
Cody SchraderRunning BackOut
Cole Van LanenTLimited Participation in Practice
Danny StriggowDefensive EndQuestionable
DeeJay DallasRunning BackOut
Dyami BrownWide ReceiverOut
Emmanuel OgbahDefensive EndOut

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)