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Jacksonville Jaguars vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Jaguars is the better survivor pick this week

Jaguars score 0.554 equity (80.4% win probability) against Eagles at 0.311 — a real gap of 0.243.

JAX team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ BALOpponentvs NYG

80.4%Win prob38.9%

0.554Equity score0.311

−10.0Spread11/11 books+3.0

39.5Game total38.5

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5PHI @ JAX17-19 · JAX

All-time series: 8 meetings · JAX 3 — PHI 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1543.1ELO rating1503.0

#11ELO rank#17

5-2Record2-6

AFC SouthDivisionNFC East

#1Division rank#4

W +35 · L 3 · W +2 · W +5 · W +29Last 5newest firstL 17 · L 17 · L 11 · L 2 · L 4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

14.3 · #9vs QB19.0 · #21

17.0 · #2vs RB21.5 · #15

36.9 · #24vs WR39.4 · #27

11.0 · #7vs TE9.6 · #3

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.67 (2026)Sacks / game1.14 (2026)

9.5Pressures / game7.43

5-5Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.1% · #12Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

10.2% · #22Play action10.1% · #23

3.6% · #21RPO5.4% · #14

3.8% · #15Screen pass2.1% · #32

6.1% · #16No huddle15.9% · #4

50.5% · #24Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

25.4% · #26Man coverage43.5% · #3

27.3% · #18Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

27.9% · #26Pressure32.8% · #8

JAX scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Jacksonville Jaguars

Anton HarrisonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
Antonio JohnsonSLimited Participation in Practice
Bhayshul TutenRBQuestionable
Branson CombsLBLimited Participation in Practice
Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBLimited Participation in Practice
DaVon HamiltonDTDid Not Participate In Practice
Eric MurraySDid Not Participate In Practice
Ezra ClevelandGLimited Participation in Practice
Jakobi MeyersWRLimited Participation in Practice
Jarrian JonesCBLimited Participation in Practice
Travon WalkerDEQuestionable

Philadelphia Eagles

AJ EpenesaDefensive EndOut
Britain CoveyWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Cole PaytonQuarterbackOut
Dallas GoedertTEFull Participation in Practice
DeVonta SmithWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Dontayvion WicksWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew KendallCenterOut
Fred JohnsonOffensive TackleOut
Hollywood BrownWide ReceiverOut
Jake ElliottKLimited Participation in Practice
Jalyx HuntLBLimited Participation in Practice
Jihaad CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(mentions Jaguars)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)