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Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Texans is priced this week

Titans are on bye for this week, so Texans is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

HOU team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentbye / not scheduled

66.9%Win prob—

0.479Equity score—

−4.5Spread11/0 books—

40.5Game total—

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshotsingle snapshot

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5HOU @ TEN26-3 · HOU

Week 18TEN @ HOUnot played yet

All-time series: 49 meetings · HOU 25 — TEN 24. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1507.0ELO rating1370.2

#16ELO rank#32

2-5Record1-7

AFC SouthDivisionAFC South

#2Division rank#4

L 6 · W +3 · W +23 · L 4 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 7 · L 3 · W +6 · L 23 · L 6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB18.4 · #19

—vs RB21.6 · #16

—vs WR40.7 · #28

—vs TE12.6 · #10

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game2.43 (2026)

9.71Pressures / game8.43

10-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.7% · #14Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

11.2% · #16Play action9.9% · #24

1.3% · #29RPO8.6% · #3

2.2% · #31Screen pass5.7% · #2

3.6% · #27No huddle8.2% · #9

51.0% · #23Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

31.5% · #16Man coverage27.1% · #22

22.9% · #23Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

30.7% · #15Pressure29.5% · #21

HOU scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Houston Texans

Aireontae ErseryOffensive TackleOut
Alijah HuzzieCornerbackOut
Ameer SpeedCornerbackOut
Azeez Al-ShaairLBLimited Participation in Practice
Blake FisherTFull Participation in Practice
Braden SmithTLimited Participation in Practice
Braxton BerriosWide ReceiverOut
Brevin JordanTELimited Participation in Practice
British BrooksRunning BackOut
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSafetyQuestionable
C.J. StroudQuarterbackOut
Cade StoverTight EndQuestionable

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWRQuestionable
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Carnell TateWROut
Cedric GrayLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)