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Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Titans is the better survivor pick this week

Titans score 0.391 equity (52.8% win probability) against Texans at 0.352 — a real gap of 0.038.

HOU team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs BUFOpponentvs NYJ

47.3%Win prob52.8%

0.352Equity score0.391

+1.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

45.0Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5HOU @ TENnot played yet

Week 18TEN @ HOUnot played yet

All-time series: 48 meetings · HOU 24 — TEN 24. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1573.1ELO rating1362.6

#6ELO rank#32

12-5Record3-14

AFC SouthDivisionAFC South

#2Division rank#4

L 12 · W +24 · W +8 · W +4 · W +2Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

12.8 · #3vs QB19.0 · #28

20.1 · #11vs RB21.6 · #14

25.9 · #3vs WR35.6 · #28

12.3 · #11vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.95 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

8.42Pressures / game9.06

10-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.7% · #14Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

11.2% · #16Play action9.9% · #24

1.3% · #29RPO8.6% · #3

2.2% · #31Screen pass5.7% · #2

3.6% · #27No huddle8.2% · #9

51.0% · #23Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

31.5% · #16Man coverage27.1% · #22

22.9% · #23Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

30.7% · #15Pressure29.5% · #21

HOU scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Houston Texans

Aireontae ErseryOffensive TackleOut
Alijah HuzzieCornerbackOut
Ameer SpeedCornerbackOut
Azeez Al-ShaairLinebackerOut
Blake FisherOffensive TackleQuestionable
Braxton BerriosWide ReceiverOut
Brevin JordanTight EndInjured Reserve
British BrooksRunning BackOut
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSafetyQuestionable
C.J. StroudQuarterbackOut
Cade StoverTight EndQuestionable
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleOut

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)