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Houston Texans vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Texans is the better survivor pick this week

Texans score 0.485 equity (68.0% win probability) against Giants at 0.442 — a real gap of 0.043.

HOU team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponent@ PHI

68.0%Win prob60.9%

0.485Equity score0.442

−5.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

40.5Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7NYG @ HOU27-21 · NYG

All-time series: 7 meetings · HOU 1 — NYG 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1507.0ELO rating1450.6

#16ELO rank#25

2-5Record4-2-1

AFC SouthDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#1

L 6 · W +3 · W +23 · L 4 · L 2Last 5newest firstW +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB—

—vs RB—

—vs WR—

—vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game1.29 (2026)

9.71Pressures / game6.43

10-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows4-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.7% · #14Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

11.2% · #16Play action10.8% · #18

1.3% · #29RPO9.3% · #2

2.2% · #31Screen pass3.1% · #20

3.6% · #27No huddle17.4% · #3

51.0% · #23Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

31.5% · #16Man coverage40.3% · #7

22.9% · #23Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

30.7% · #15Pressure30.2% · #17

HOU scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Houston Texans

Aireontae ErseryOffensive TackleOut
Alijah HuzzieCornerbackOut
Ameer SpeedCornerbackOut
Azeez Al-ShaairLBLimited Participation in Practice
Blake FisherTFull Participation in Practice
Braden SmithTLimited Participation in Practice
Braxton BerriosWide ReceiverOut
Brevin JordanTELimited Participation in Practice
British BrooksRunning BackOut
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSafetyQuestionable
C.J. StroudQuarterbackOut
Cade StoverTight EndQuestionable

New York Giants

Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
Jason PinnockSafetyOut
Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)