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Houston Texans vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Texans is the better survivor pick this week

Texans score 0.479 equity (66.9% win probability) against Vikings at 0.304 — a real gap of 0.175.

HOU team page →MIN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentvs BUF

66.9%Win prob38.2%

0.479Equity score0.304

−4.5Spread11/11 books+3.5

40.5Game total45.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 6 meetings · HOU 0 — MIN 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1507.0ELO rating1570.6

#16ELO rank#4

2-5Record6-1

AFC SouthDivisionNFC North

#2Division rank#1

L 6 · W +3 · W +23 · L 4 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 4 · W +6 · W +10 · W +5 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB7.8 · #1

—vs RB18.4 · #5

—vs WR25.9 · #4

—vs TE7.1 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)

9.71Pressures / game13.33

10-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.7% · #14Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23

11.2% · #16Play action12.5% · #8

1.3% · #29RPO3.7% · #20

2.2% · #31Screen pass4.2% · #10

3.6% · #27No huddle6.1% · #15

51.0% · #23Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

31.5% · #16Man coverage19.0% · #32

22.9% · #23Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1

30.7% · #15Pressure34.1% · #4

HOU scheme profile →MIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Houston Texans

Aireontae ErseryOffensive TackleOut
Alijah HuzzieCornerbackOut
Ameer SpeedCornerbackOut
Azeez Al-ShaairLBLimited Participation in Practice
Blake FisherTFull Participation in Practice
Braden SmithTLimited Participation in Practice
Braxton BerriosWide ReceiverOut
Brevin JordanTELimited Participation in Practice
British BrooksRunning BackOut
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSafetyQuestionable
C.J. StroudQuarterbackOut
Cade StoverTight EndQuestionable

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
Corey KinerRunning BackOut
Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)