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Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Texans play Chargers in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices HOU carries the higher survivor equity score.

HOU team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ LACOpponentvs HOU

66.9%Win prob33.1%

0.479Equity score0.271

−4.5Spread11/11 books+4.5

40.5Game total40.5

▼ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · SoFi Stadium

Matchup: HOU @ LAC
Spread (home): +4.5 (11 books)
Total: 40.5 (11 books)
Kickoff: Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:05

Opened LAC −2.5, now LAC +4.5 · moved 7.0 toward HOU · Total 43.5 → 40.5 (−3.0)(243 snapshots)

No in-horizon weather forecast stored for this game yet.

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9HOU @ LACnot played yet

All-time series: 11 meetings · HOU 5 — LAC 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1507.0ELO rating1462.4

#16ELO rank#23

2-5Record0-7

AFC SouthDivisionAFC West

#2Division rank#4

L 6 · W +3 · W +23 · L 4 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

—vs QB13.5 · #8

—vs RB23.9 · #19

—vs WR30.6 · #14

—vs TE10.2 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

9.71Pressures / game7.67

10-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.7% · #14Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

11.2% · #16Play action11.5% · #14

1.3% · #29RPO2.0% · #27

2.2% · #31Screen pass2.8% · #25

3.6% · #27No huddle3.9% · #25

51.0% · #23Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

31.5% · #16Man coverage23.6% · #27

22.9% · #23Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

30.7% · #15Pressure31.3% · #12

HOU scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Houston Texans

Aireontae ErseryOffensive TackleOut
Alijah HuzzieCornerbackOut
Ameer SpeedCornerbackOut
Azeez Al-ShaairLBLimited Participation in Practice
Blake FisherTFull Participation in Practice
Braden SmithTLimited Participation in Practice
Braxton BerriosWide ReceiverOut
Brevin JordanTELimited Participation in Practice
British BrooksRunning BackOut
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonSafetyQuestionable
C.J. StroudQuarterbackOut
Cade StoverTight EndQuestionable

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)