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Green Bay Packers vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.453 equity (67.8% win probability) against Packers at 0.367 — a real gap of 0.087.

GB team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ MINOpponentvs WAS

47.0%Win prob67.8%

0.367Equity score0.453

+1.5Spread11/11 books−5.5

46.5Game total44.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 18 meetings · GB 7 — PHI 11. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1527.4ELO rating1589.5

#15ELO rank#3

9-7-1Record11-6

NFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#2Division rank#1

L 4 · L 13 · L 17 · L 6 · L 8Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

15.0 · #12vs QB14.5 · #10

21.9 · #17vs RB22.9 · #20

31.3 · #18vs WR26.5 · #6

12.1 · #10vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.06 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

10Pressures / game8.17

17-15-1Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.1% · #15Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

11.7% · #12Play action10.1% · #23

7.9% · #4RPO5.4% · #14

3.3% · #18Screen pass2.1% · #32

7.2% · #14No huddle15.9% · #4

52.2% · #21Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.2% · #31Man coverage43.5% · #3

21.9% · #28Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

30.7% · #16Pressure32.8% · #8

GB scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Green Bay Packers

Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
Anthony BeltonOffensive TackleOut
Barryn SorrellLBLimited Participation in Practice
Bo MeltonCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon McManusPlace KickerOut
Brenton Cox Jr.Defensive EndQuestionable
Christian WatsonWide ReceiverOut
Collin OliverDefensive EndOut
Devonte WyattDTLimited Participation in Practice
Donovan JenningsGuardOut
Dontayvion WicksWide ReceiverQuestionable
Edgerrin CooperLinebackerOut

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)