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Green Bay Packers vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.300 equity (39.5% win probability) against Jets at 0.189 — a real gap of 0.111.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NEOpponent@ KC
39.5%Win prob19.7%
0.300Equity score0.189
+3.0Spread11/11 books+10.0
45.5Game total47.5
▲ 0.009Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 2GB @ NYJ20-17 · GB

All-time series: 8 meetings · GB 4 — NYJ 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1531.1ELO rating1393.2
#13ELO rank#31
5-3Record2-6
NFC NorthDivisionAFC East
#4Division rank#3
W +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

12.6 · #5vs QB18.0 · #16
25.5 · #23vs RB21.8 · #17
35.0 · #22vs WR28.8 · #9
9.0 · #2vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.75 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)
9.38Pressures / game8.71
19-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.1% · #15Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7
11.7% · #12Play action8.6% · #29
7.9% · #4RPO7.1% · #8
3.3% · #18Screen pass3.4% · #17
7.2% · #14No huddle8.1% · #10
52.2% · #21Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.2% · #31Man coverage40.5% · #6
21.9% · #28Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13
30.7% · #16Pressure24.8% · #30

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
  • Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

New York Jets

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
  • Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
  • Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
  • Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
  • Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
  • Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam JonesLinebackerOut
  • Chris Smith IISafetyOut
  • David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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