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Green Bay Packers vs Miami Dolphins

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.300 equity (39.5% win probability) against Dolphins at 0.230 — a real gap of 0.069.

GB team page →MIA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NEOpponentvs DET

39.5%Win prob26.5%

0.300Equity score0.230

+3.0Spread11/11 books+7.0

45.5Game total50.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 15MIA @ GBnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · GB 6 — MIA 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1531.1ELO rating1442.8

#13ELO rank#27

5-3Record1-6

NFC NorthDivisionAFC East

#4Division rank#4

W +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 5 · W +3 · L 7 · L 5 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

12.6 · #5vs QB20.0 · #24

25.5 · #23vs RB26.5 · #25

35.0 · #22vs WR25.4 · #3

9.0 · #2vs TE19.2 · #26

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.75 (2026)Sacks / game1 (2026)

9.38Pressures / game6.83

19-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows7-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

44.1% · #15Pre-snap motion55.9% · #1

11.7% · #12Play action12.9% · #6

7.9% · #4RPO4.4% · #16

3.3% · #18Screen pass5.2% · #4

7.2% · #14No huddle3.1% · #28

52.2% · #21Shotgun57.9% · #13

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

21.2% · #31Man coverage28.4% · #21

21.9% · #28Blitz (5+ rushers)33.1% · #5

30.7% · #16Pressure27.2% · #28

GB scheme profile →MIA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Green Bay Packers

Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

Miami Dolphins

A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
Austin JacksonGuardOut
Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
Chop RobinsonLBLimited Participation in Practice
Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)