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Detroit Lions vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Lions is priced this week

Steelers are on bye for this week, so Lions is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ MIAOpponentbye / not scheduled
73.5%Win prob—
0.520Equity score—
−7.0Spread11/0 books—
50.5Game total—
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshotsingle snapshot

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · DET 0 — PIT 6 · 1 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1560.8ELO rating1548.0
#6ELO rank#8
5-2Record6-2
NFC NorthDivisionAFC North
#3Division rank#1
W +4 · W +3 · W +24 · L 6 · W +7Last 5newest firstW +21 · W +6 · W +7 · W +12 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

24.8 · #28vs QB12.1 · #4
18.2 · #4vs RB20.2 · #11
37.6 · #26vs WR28.9 · #10
27.9 · #28vs TE12.7 · #11

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)
12.67Pressures / game7.14
16-14Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows15-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.3% · #9Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16
12.0% · #10Play action9.2% · #27
3.1% · #24RPO7.0% · #10
4.9% · #6Screen pass6.6% · #1
5.0% · #20No huddle9.7% · #7
42.3% · #30Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

42.6% · #4Man coverage36.9% · #10
28.9% · #10Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8
31.8% · #10Pressure29.5% · #20

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Detroit Lions

  • Amen OgbongbemigaLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Blake MillerOffensive TackleOut
  • Brian BranchSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cade MaysCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Christian MahoganyGuardOut
  • D.J. ReedCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • DJ WonnumDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isiah PachecoRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jack CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jacob SaylorsRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kerby JosephSLimited Participation in Practice

Pittsburgh Steelers

  • Alex HighsmithLBFull Participation in Practice
  • Ben SkowronekWRQuestionable
  • Brandin EcholsCBOut
  • Cameron HeywardDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Darnell WashingtonTEFull Participation in Practice
  • DeShon ElliottSafetyInjured Reserve
  • Doneiko SlaughterCBOut
  • Gennings DunkerGuardInjured Reserve
  • Jalen RamseyCBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jamel DeanCornerbackOut
  • Michael Pittman Jr.Wide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Rico DowdleRunning BackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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