Compare

Detroit Lions vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Lions is the better survivor pick this week

Lions score 0.500 equity (73.2% win probability) against Eagles at 0.459 — a real gap of 0.042.

DET team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs NOOpponentvs WAS

73.2%Win prob68.1%

0.500Equity score0.459

−7.0Spread11/11 books−5.5

50.0Game total44.5

▲ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 11 meetings · DET 4 — PHI 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1564.1ELO rating1589.5

#7ELO rank#3

9-8Record11-6

NFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#3Division rank#1

W +3 · L 13 · L 5 · L 7 · W +14Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.2 · #24vs QB14.5 · #10

19.4 · #7vs RB22.9 · #20

35.6 · #29vs WR26.5 · #6

13.7 · #17vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

9.25Pressures / game8.17

16-12Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.3% · #9Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

12.0% · #10Play action10.1% · #23

3.1% · #24RPO5.4% · #14

4.9% · #6Screen pass2.1% · #32

5.0% · #20No huddle15.9% · #4

42.3% · #30Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

42.6% · #4Man coverage43.5% · #3

28.9% · #10Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

31.8% · #10Pressure32.8% · #8

DET scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Detroit Lions

Ahmed HassaneinDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex AnzaloneLinebackerQuestionable
Alim McNeillDefensive TackleOut
Amon-Ra St. BrownWide ReceiverOut
Chris SmithDefensive TackleOut
Christian IzienSLimited Participation in Practice
Craig ReynoldsRunning BackOut
D.J. ReedCornerbackQuestionable
Dan JacksonSafetyInjured Reserve
Daniel ThomasSafetyQuestionable
Derrick MooreDELimited Participation in Practice
Dicaprio BootleCornerbackInjured Reserve

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(mentions Lions)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)