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Detroit Lions vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Lions is the better survivor pick this week

Lions score 0.520 equity (73.5% win probability) against Giants at 0.439 — a real gap of 0.081.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ MIAOpponent@ PHI
73.5%Win prob61.1%
0.520Equity score0.439
−7.0Spread11/11 books−3.0
50.5Game total38.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 16NYG @ DETnot played yet

All-time series: 11 meetings · DET 7 — NYG 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1560.8ELO rating1450.6
#6ELO rank#25
5-2Record4-2-1
NFC NorthDivisionNFC East
#3Division rank#1
W +4 · W +3 · W +24 · L 6 · W +7Last 5newest firstW +6 · L 7 · T 0 · W +12 · W +5

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

24.8 · #28vs QB—
18.2 · #4vs RB—
37.6 · #26vs WR—
27.9 · #28vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game1.29 (2026)
12.67Pressures / game6.43
16-14Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.3% · #9Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32
12.0% · #10Play action10.8% · #18
3.1% · #24RPO9.3% · #2
4.9% · #6Screen pass3.1% · #20
5.0% · #20No huddle17.4% · #3
42.3% · #30Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

42.6% · #4Man coverage40.3% · #7
28.9% · #10Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9
31.8% · #10Pressure30.2% · #17

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Detroit Lions

  • Amen OgbongbemigaLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Blake MillerOffensive TackleOut
  • Brian BranchSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cade MaysCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Christian MahoganyGuardOut
  • D.J. ReedCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • DJ WonnumDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Isiah PachecoRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jack CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jacob SaylorsRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Kerby JosephSLimited Participation in Practice

New York Giants

  • Abdul CarterLBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Andrew ThomasTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bobby Jamison-TravisDefensive TackleOut
  • Brian BurnsLinebackerQuestionable
  • Cam SkatteboRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Colton HoodCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deonte BanksCornerbackOut
  • DJ ReaderDTFull Participation in Practice
  • Jason PinnockSafetyOut
  • Jaxson DartQuarterbackOut
  • Jermaine EluemunorTLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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