Compare
Detroit Lions vs Minnesota Vikings
Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.
Week 9 verdict
Lions is the better survivor pick this week
Lions score 0.519 equity (73.5% win probability) against Vikings at 0.306 — a real gap of 0.214.
This week
2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores
Season series
2026 scheduled meetings
All-time series: 55 meetings · DET 19 — MIN 36. See the full head-to-head history →
Power rating & record
elo through 2026 · week 9
Defense vs position
ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher
Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only
tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market
Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.
Scheme tendencies — offense
ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate
Scheme tendencies — defense
nflverse participation · 2025 season
Injury report
2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly
Detroit Lions
- Amen OgbongbemigaLBLimited Participation in Practice
- Amon-Ra St. BrownWRLimited Participation in Practice
- Blake MillerOffensive TackleOut
- Brian BranchSLimited Participation in Practice
- Cade MaysCDid Not Participate In Practice
- Christian MahoganyGuardOut
- D.J. ReedCBDid Not Participate In Practice
- DJ WonnumDEDid Not Participate In Practice
- Isiah PachecoRunning BackInjured Reserve
- Jack CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice
- Jacob SaylorsRBLimited Participation in Practice
- Kerby JosephSLimited Participation in Practice
Minnesota Vikings
- Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
- Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
- Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
- Austin KeysLinebackerOut
- Ben SimsTight EndOut
- Ben YurosekTight EndOut
- Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
- Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
- Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
- Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
- Corey KinerRunning BackOut
- Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut
Relevant to this matchup
- Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
- The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
- 2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
- 2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
- 2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)