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Denver Broncos vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Only Broncos is priced this week

Steelers are on bye for this week, so Broncos is the only side of this comparison with a real survivor number.

DEN team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ CAROpponentbye / not scheduled

57.2%Win prob—

0.443Equity score—

−2.5Spread11/0 books—

44.0Game total—

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshotsingle snapshot

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 12DEN @ PITnot played yet

All-time series: 13 meetings · DEN 7 — PIT 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1589.8ELO rating1548.0

#2ELO rank#8

6-2Record6-2

AFC WestDivisionAFC North

#1Division rank#1

W +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10Last 5newest firstW +21 · W +6 · W +7 · W +12 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.4 · #13vs QB12.1 · #4

25.3 · #22vs RB20.2 · #11

27.5 · #7vs WR28.9 · #10

16.7 · #23vs TE12.7 · #11

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)

11.14Pressures / game7.14

12-12Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows15-19

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #25Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

12.5% · #7Play action9.2% · #27

7.0% · #9RPO7.0% · #10

5.5% · #3Screen pass6.6% · #1

11.0% · #5No huddle9.7% · #7

54.3% · #16Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

44.4% · #1Man coverage36.9% · #10

32.8% · #6Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

33.7% · #5Pressure29.5% · #20

DEN scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Denver Broncos

Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
Nick GargiuloGuardOut
Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

Pittsburgh Steelers

Alex HighsmithLBFull Participation in Practice
Ben SkowronekWRQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCBOut
Cameron HeywardDTFull Participation in Practice
Darnell WashingtonTEFull Participation in Practice
DeShon ElliottSafetyInjured Reserve
Doneiko SlaughterCBOut
Gennings DunkerGuardInjured Reserve
Jalen RamseyCBFull Participation in Practice
Jamel DeanCornerbackOut
Michael Pittman Jr.Wide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Rico DowdleRunning BackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)