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Denver Broncos vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Broncos is the better survivor pick this week

Broncos score 0.443 equity (57.2% win probability) against Jets at 0.189 — a real gap of 0.254.

DEN team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ CAROpponent@ KC

57.2%Win prob19.7%

0.443Equity score0.189

−2.5Spread11/11 books+10.0

44.0Game total47.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 14DEN @ NYJnot played yet

All-time series: 16 meetings · DEN 10 — NYJ 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1589.8ELO rating1393.2

#2ELO rank#31

6-2Record2-6

AFC WestDivisionAFC East

#1Division rank#3

W +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.4 · #13vs QB18.0 · #16

25.3 · #22vs RB21.8 · #17

27.5 · #7vs WR28.8 · #9

16.7 · #23vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)

11.14Pressures / game8.71

12-12Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #25Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7

12.5% · #7Play action8.6% · #29

7.0% · #9RPO7.1% · #8

5.5% · #3Screen pass3.4% · #17

11.0% · #5No huddle8.1% · #10

54.3% · #16Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

44.4% · #1Man coverage40.5% · #6

32.8% · #6Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13

33.7% · #5Pressure24.8% · #30

DEN scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Denver Broncos

Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
Nick GargiuloGuardOut
Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

New York Jets

Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JonesLinebackerOut
Chris Smith IISafetyOut
David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)