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Denver Broncos vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Broncos is the better survivor pick this week

Broncos score 0.340 equity (43.2% win probability) against Giants at 0.324 — a real gap of 0.016.

DEN team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ KCOpponentvs DAL

43.2%Win prob40.7%

0.340Equity score0.324

+2.5Spread11/11 books+3.0

43.5Game total48.0

▲ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · DEN 5 — NYG 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1588.3ELO rating1390.8

#4ELO rank#28

14-3Record4-13

AFC WestDivisionNFC East

#1Division rank#4

L 3 · W +3 · W +16 · W +7 · L 14Last 5newest firstW +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.2 · #9vs QB18.3 · #25

17.0 · #1vs RB25.8 · #29

27.0 · #9vs WR33.7 · #24

13.7 · #16vs TE11.4 · #8

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

4 (2025)Sacks / game2.24 (2025)

13.05Pressures / game8.41

10-11Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #25Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

12.5% · #7Play action10.8% · #18

7.0% · #9RPO9.3% · #2

5.5% · #3Screen pass3.1% · #20

11.0% · #5No huddle17.4% · #3

54.3% · #16Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

44.4% · #1Man coverage40.3% · #7

32.8% · #6Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

33.7% · #5Pressure30.2% · #17

DEN scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2025 week 21 · nflverse + highlightly

Denver Broncos

Alex ForsythCQuestionable
Alex SingletonLinebackerOut
Bo NixQBOut
Cody SchraderRunning BackOut
D.J. JonesDefensive TackleOut
Delarrin Turner-YellSafetyQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLinebackerOut
Drew SandersLBOut
Elijah MooreWide ReceiverOut
Evan EngramTight EndOut
Frank CrumTFull Participation in Practice
Garret WallowLinebackerQuestionable

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)