NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Rams

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Rams is the better survivor pick this week

Rams score 0.482 equity (66.7% win probability) against Broncos at 0.443 — a real gap of 0.039.

DEN team page →LA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ CAROpponent@ WAS
57.2%Win prob66.7%
0.443Equity score0.482
−2.5Spread11/11 books−4.5
44.5Game total48.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 3LA @ DEN26-30 · DEN

All-time series: 8 meetings · DEN 2 — LA 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1589.8ELO rating1543.5
#2ELO rank#10
6-2Record4-4
AFC WestDivisionNFC West
#1Division rank#3
W +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10Last 5newest firstW +15 · W +14 · L 2 · L 3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.4 · #13vs QB16.0 · #12
25.3 · #22vs RB19.9 · #10
27.5 · #7vs WR26.8 · #5
16.7 · #23vs TE10.6 · #6

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game1.43 (2026)
11.14Pressures / game7.57
12-12Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows17-17

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #25Pre-snap motion50.6% · #4
12.5% · #7Play action15.8% · #1
7.0% · #9RPO0.4% · #32
5.5% · #3Screen pass3.0% · #21
11.0% · #5No huddle6.0% · #17
54.3% · #16Shotgun34.8% · #32

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

44.4% · #1Man coverage27.0% · #23
32.8% · #6Blitz (5+ rushers)20.8% · #29
33.7% · #5Pressure32.1% · #9
DEN scheme profile →LA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Denver Broncos

  • Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
  • Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
  • Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Nick GargiuloGuardOut
  • Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

Los Angeles Rams

  • Bill MurrayGuardOut
  • CJ DanielsWide ReceiverOut
  • Colby ParkinsonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Grant StuardLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jaylen WatsonCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joe CardonaLSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jordan WhittingtonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Josaiah StewartLinebackerQuestionable
  • Kam CurlSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Kamren KinchensSafetyOut
  • Larrell MurchisonDefensive EndOut
  • Matthew StaffordQBFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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