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Denver Broncos vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Broncos is the better survivor pick this week

Broncos score 0.442 equity (57.2% win probability) against Chargers at 0.271 — a real gap of 0.171.

DEN team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ CAROpponentvs HOU

57.2%Win prob33.1%

0.442Equity score0.271

−2.5Spread11/11 books+4.5

44.0Game total40.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5DEN @ LAC23-17 · DEN

Week 18LAC @ DENnot played yet

All-time series: 56 meetings · DEN 33 — LAC 23. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1589.8ELO rating1462.4

#2ELO rank#23

6-2Record0-7

AFC WestDivisionAFC West

#1Division rank#4

W +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10Last 5newest firstL 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

16.4 · #13vs QB13.5 · #8

25.3 · #22vs RB23.9 · #19

27.5 · #7vs WR30.6 · #14

16.7 · #23vs TE10.2 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

11.14Pressures / game7.67

12-12Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #25Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

12.5% · #7Play action11.5% · #14

7.0% · #9RPO2.0% · #27

5.5% · #3Screen pass2.8% · #25

11.0% · #5No huddle3.9% · #25

54.3% · #16Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

44.4% · #1Man coverage23.6% · #27

32.8% · #6Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

33.7% · #5Pressure31.3% · #12

DEN scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Denver Broncos

Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
Nick GargiuloGuardOut
Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: San Francisco 49ers Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)