Compare

Denver Broncos vs Las Vegas Raiders

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Raiders is the better survivor pick this week

Raiders score 0.424 equity (60.5% win probability) against Broncos at 0.336 — a real gap of 0.088.

DEN team page →LV team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ KCOpponentvs MIA

43.1%Win prob60.5%

0.336Equity score0.424

+2.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

43.5Game total40.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 11LV @ DENnot played yet

Week 15DEN @ LVnot played yet

All-time series: 54 meetings · DEN 31 — LV 23. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1588.3ELO rating1373.0

#4ELO rank#31

14-3Record3-14

AFC WestDivisionAFC West

#1Division rank#4

L 3 · W +3 · W +16 · W +7 · L 14Last 5newest firstW +2 · L 24 · L 2 · L 31 · L 7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

14.2 · #9vs QB16.1 · #16

17.0 · #1vs RB23.4 · #21

27.0 · #9vs WR33.5 · #22

13.7 · #16vs TE10.1 · #2

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

4 (2025)Sacks / game2.12 (2025)

13.05Pressures / game6.76

10-11Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows8-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.9% · #25Pre-snap motion41.4% · #22

12.5% · #7Play action12.4% · #9

7.0% · #9RPO3.2% · #23

5.5% · #3Screen pass4.1% · #12

11.0% · #5No huddle7.4% · #13

54.3% · #16Shotgun54.2% · #19

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

44.4% · #1Man coverage21.9% · #29

32.8% · #6Blitz (5+ rushers)22.4% · #26

33.7% · #5Pressure27.8% · #27

DEN scheme profile →LV scheme profile →

Injury report

2025 week 21 · nflverse + highlightly

Denver Broncos

Alex ForsythCQuestionable
Alex SingletonLinebackerOut
Bo NixQBOut
Cody SchraderRunning BackOut
D.J. JonesDefensive TackleOut
Delarrin Turner-YellSafetyQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLinebackerOut
Drew SandersLBOut
Elijah MooreWide ReceiverOut
Evan EngramTight EndOut
Frank CrumTFull Participation in Practice
Garret WallowLinebackerQuestionable

Las Vegas Raiders

Adam ButlerDefensive TackleQuestionable
Aidan O'ConnellQuarterbackOut
AJ ColePunterQuestionable
Alex CappaGuardQuestionable
Andre Carter IIDefensive EndQuestionable
Ashton JeantyRBFull Participation in Practice
Brock BowersTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Caleb RogersGuardOut
Charles SnowdenDefensive EndOut
Darnay HolmesCornerbackOut
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)