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Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Cowboys is the better survivor pick this week

Cowboys score 0.482 equity (68.0% win probability) against Saints at 0.461 — a real gap of 0.021.

DAL team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponentvs CLE

68.0%Win prob59.9%

0.482Equity score0.461

−5.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

51.5Game total42.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · DAL 4 — NO 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1471.6ELO rating1436.2

#20ELO rank#28

3-5Record2-5

NFC EastDivisionNFC South

#2Division rank#4

L 3 · W +17 · L 10 · L 8 · W +4Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

20.2 · #26vs QB—

26.4 · #24vs RB—

35.6 · #23vs WR—

13.7 · #13vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)

7.86Pressures / game7.29

25-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.1% · #11Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8

13.0% · #5Play action9.6% · #25

4.1% · #18RPO4.7% · #15

2.7% · #27Screen pass2.7% · #26

7.8% · #11No huddle18.7% · #2

51.7% · #22Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

26.0% · #25Man coverage22.1% · #28

28.4% · #12Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21

31.8% · #11Pressure28.2% · #24

DAL scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Dallas Cowboys

Broderick JonesTDid Not Participate In Practice
Caleb DownsSDid Not Participate In Practice
Camden BrownWide ReceiverOut
Cobie DurantCornerbackOut
Dee WintersLBLimited Participation in Practice
DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerOut
Drew SheltonTFull Participation in Practice
George PickensWRLimited Participation in Practice
Israel AbanikandaRunning BackOut
Jake FergusonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Joey Porter Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
Jonathan BullardDEFull Participation in Practice

New Orleans Saints

Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)