NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Cowboys is the better survivor pick this week

Cowboys score 0.483 equity (68.1% win probability) against Packers at 0.291 — a real gap of 0.191.

DAL team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ NE
68.1%Win prob39.5%
0.483Equity score0.291
−5.5Spread11/11 books+3.0
51.5Game total45.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.006

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 6DAL @ GB13-23 · GB

All-time series: 17 meetings · DAL 4 — GB 12 · 1 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1471.6ELO rating1531.1
#20ELO rank#13
3-5Record5-3
NFC EastDivisionNFC North
#2Division rank#4
L 3 · W +17 · L 10 · L 8 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

20.2 · #26vs QB12.6 · #5
26.4 · #24vs RB25.5 · #23
35.6 · #23vs WR35.0 · #22
13.7 · #13vs TE9.0 · #2

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game2.75 (2026)
7.86Pressures / game9.38
25-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.1% · #11Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15
13.0% · #5Play action11.7% · #12
4.1% · #18RPO7.9% · #4
2.7% · #27Screen pass3.3% · #18
7.8% · #11No huddle7.2% · #14
51.7% · #22Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

26.0% · #25Man coverage21.2% · #31
28.4% · #12Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28
31.8% · #11Pressure30.7% · #16
DAL scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Dallas Cowboys

  • Broderick JonesTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Caleb DownsSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Camden BrownWide ReceiverOut
  • Cobie DurantCornerbackOut
  • Dee WintersLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerOut
  • Drew SheltonTFull Participation in Practice
  • George PickensWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Israel AbanikandaRunning BackOut
  • Jake FergusonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey Porter Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jonathan BullardDEFull Participation in Practice

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
  • Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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