Compare

Dallas Cowboys vs Detroit Lions

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Lions is the better survivor pick this week

Lions score 0.520 equity (73.5% win probability) against Cowboys at 0.483 — a real gap of 0.037.

DAL team page →DET team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ MIA

68.1%Win prob73.5%

0.483Equity score0.520

−5.5Spread11/11 books−7.0

51.5Game total50.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 18 meetings · DAL 11 — DET 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1471.6ELO rating1560.8

#20ELO rank#6

3-5Record5-2

NFC EastDivisionNFC North

#2Division rank#3

L 3 · W +17 · L 10 · L 8 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +4 · W +3 · W +24 · L 6 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

20.2 · #26vs QB24.8 · #28

26.4 · #24vs RB18.2 · #4

35.6 · #23vs WR37.6 · #26

13.7 · #13vs TE27.9 · #28

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)

7.86Pressures / game12.67

25-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows16-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.1% · #11Pre-snap motion47.3% · #9

13.0% · #5Play action12.0% · #10

4.1% · #18RPO3.1% · #24

2.7% · #27Screen pass4.9% · #6

7.8% · #11No huddle5.0% · #20

51.7% · #22Shotgun42.3% · #30

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

26.0% · #25Man coverage42.6% · #4

28.4% · #12Blitz (5+ rushers)28.9% · #10

31.8% · #11Pressure31.8% · #10

DAL scheme profile →DET scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Dallas Cowboys

Broderick JonesTDid Not Participate In Practice
Caleb DownsSDid Not Participate In Practice
Camden BrownWide ReceiverOut
Cobie DurantCornerbackOut
Dee WintersLBLimited Participation in Practice
DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerOut
Drew SheltonTFull Participation in Practice
George PickensWRLimited Participation in Practice
Israel AbanikandaRunning BackOut
Jake FergusonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
Joey Porter Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
Jonathan BullardDEFull Participation in Practice

Detroit Lions

Amen OgbongbemigaLBLimited Participation in Practice
Amon-Ra St. BrownWRLimited Participation in Practice
Blake MillerOffensive TackleOut
Brian BranchSLimited Participation in Practice
Cade MaysCDid Not Participate In Practice
Christian MahoganyGuardOut
D.J. ReedCBDid Not Participate In Practice
DJ WonnumDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Isiah PachecoRunning BackInjured Reserve
Jack CampbellLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Jacob SaylorsRBLimited Participation in Practice
Kerby JosephSLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)