NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Dallas Cowboys vs Denver Broncos

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Cowboys is the better survivor pick this week

Cowboys score 0.482 equity (68.0% win probability) against Broncos at 0.443 — a real gap of 0.039.

DAL team page →DEN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ INDOpponent@ CAR
68.0%Win prob57.2%
0.482Equity score0.443
−5.5Spread11/11 books−2.5
51.5Game total44.0
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · DAL 0 — DEN 7. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1471.6ELO rating1589.8
#20ELO rank#2
3-5Record6-2
NFC EastDivisionAFC West
#2Division rank#1
L 3 · W +17 · L 10 · L 8 · W +4Last 5newest firstW +4 · W +14 · W +3 · W +6 · L 10

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

20.2 · #26vs QB16.4 · #13
26.4 · #24vs RB25.3 · #22
35.6 · #23vs WR27.5 · #7
13.7 · #13vs TE16.7 · #23

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

1.43 (2026)Sacks / game3 (2026)
7.86Pressures / game11.14
25-16-1Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows12-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

47.1% · #11Pre-snap motion39.9% · #25
13.0% · #5Play action12.5% · #7
4.1% · #18RPO7.0% · #9
2.7% · #27Screen pass5.5% · #3
7.8% · #11No huddle11.0% · #5
51.7% · #22Shotgun54.3% · #16

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

26.0% · #25Man coverage44.4% · #1
28.4% · #12Blitz (5+ rushers)32.8% · #6
31.8% · #11Pressure33.7% · #5
DAL scheme profile →DEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Dallas Cowboys

  • Broderick JonesTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Caleb DownsSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Camden BrownWide ReceiverOut
  • Cobie DurantCornerbackOut
  • Dee WintersLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerOut
  • Drew SheltonTFull Participation in Practice
  • George PickensWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Israel AbanikandaRunning BackOut
  • Jake FergusonTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Joey Porter Jr.CBFull Participation in Practice
  • Jonathan BullardDEFull Participation in Practice

Denver Broncos

  • Brandon JonesSDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Caleb LohnerTight EndInjured Reserve
  • Courtland SuttonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Eyioma UwazurikeDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Frank CrumOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Jaylen WaddleWRFull Participation in Practice
  • Jonah ColemanRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Jonathon CooperLinebackerOut
  • Kris Abrams-DraineCBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Levelle BaileyLinebackerInjured Reserve
  • Nick GargiuloGuardOut
  • Pat BryantWRFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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