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Cleveland Browns vs Tennessee Titans

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Titans is the better survivor pick this week

Titans score 0.396 equity (52.6% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.182.

CLE team page →TEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponentvs NYJ

22.3%Win prob52.6%

0.214Equity score0.396

+8.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

40.0Game total38.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 7CLE @ TENnot played yet

All-time series: 18 meetings · CLE 7 — TEN 11. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1362.6

#27ELO rank#32

5-12Record3-14

AFC NorthDivisionAFC South

#4Division rank#4

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 34 · L 8 · W +17 · L 13 · W +2

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB19.0 · #28

22.8 · #19vs RB21.6 · #14

26.9 · #8vs WR35.6 · #28

12.1 · #9vs TE14.2 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.47 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game9.06

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows6-7

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion35.5% · #29

11.2% · #15Play action9.9% · #24

3.0% · #25RPO8.6% · #3

4.2% · #11Screen pass5.7% · #2

7.5% · #12No huddle8.2% · #9

55.8% · #14Shotgun58.9% · #11

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage27.1% · #22

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)22.9% · #24

35.1% · #1Pressure29.5% · #21

CLE scheme profile →TEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Tennessee Titans

Ali GayeLinebackerQuestionable
Amani HookerSafetyOut
Anfernee OrjiLinebackerInjured Reserve
Arden KeyLinebackerQuestionable
Blake HanceGuardQuestionable
Bryce OliverWide ReceiverOut
C.J. RavenellDefensive EndOut
Calvin RidleyWide ReceiverOut
Cam HorsleyDefensive TackleOut
Cam WardQuarterbackOut
Cedric GrayLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Chandler BrewerOffensive TackleInjured Reserve

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(mentions Titans)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)