NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cleveland Browns vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Browns is the better survivor pick this week

Browns score 0.289 equity (40.1% win probability) against Buccaneers at 0.250 — a real gap of 0.038.

CLE team page →TB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponent@ CHI
40.1%Win prob29.4%
0.289Equity score0.250
+3.0Spread11/11 books+6.0
42.5Game total47.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 2CLE @ TB23-19 · CLE

All-time series: 7 meetings · CLE 3 — TB 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1474.2
#18ELO rank#19
5-3Record3-5
AFC NorthDivisionNFC South
#3Division rank#2
L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstW +16 · W +30 · L 7 · W +8 · L 3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB11.6 · #3
21.1 · #14vs RB16.9 · #1
29.3 · #11vs WR28.5 · #8
14.9 · #20vs TE14.8 · #19

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game2.29 (2026)
8.71Pressures / game7.43
7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows11-14

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion50.2% · #5
11.2% · #15Play action8.4% · #31
3.0% · #25RPO6.4% · #11
4.2% · #11Screen pass5.1% · #5
7.5% · #12No huddle5.5% · #19
55.8% · #14Shotgun54.2% · #18

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage30.3% · #18
28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)34.1% · #3
35.1% · #1Pressure34.1% · #3
CLE scheme profile →TB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

  • Antoine Winfield Jr.SafetyOut
  • Baker MayfieldQBFull Participation in Practice
  • Benjamin MorrisonCornerbackOut
  • Cade OttonTEFull Participation in Practice
  • Cody MauchGFull Participation in Practice
  • Elijah RobertsDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Emeka EgbukaWRDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Jalen McMillanWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
  • Kenny GainwellRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • SirVocea DennisLinebackerOut
  • Tykee SmithSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Yaya DiabyLBDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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