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Cleveland Browns vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Steelers is the better survivor pick this week

Steelers score 0.454 equity (67.0% win probability) against Browns at 0.215 — a real gap of 0.239.

CLE team page →PIT team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponentvs ATL

22.4%Win prob67.0%

0.215Equity score0.454

+8.5Spread11/11 books−4.5

40.0Game total41.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 4PIT @ CLEnot played yet

Week 8CLE @ PITnot played yet

All-time series: 56 meetings · CLE 13 — PIT 42 · 1 ties. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1529.4

#27ELO rank#13

5-12Record10-7

AFC NorthDivisionAFC North

#4Division rank#1

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 24 · W +2 · L 7 · W +5 · W +13

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB18.8 · #27

22.8 · #19vs RB19.5 · #8

26.9 · #8vs WR35.2 · #26

12.1 · #9vs TE16.6 · #29

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.83 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game9

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows15-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion43.4% · #16

11.2% · #15Play action9.2% · #27

3.0% · #25RPO7.0% · #10

4.2% · #11Screen pass6.6% · #1

7.5% · #12No huddle9.7% · #7

55.8% · #14Shotgun54.2% · #17

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage36.9% · #10

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)31.4% · #8

35.1% · #1Pressure29.5% · #20

CLE scheme profile →PIT scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Pittsburgh Steelers

Aaron RodgersQuarterbackQuestionable
Alex HighsmithLinebackerOut
Andrus PeatGuardQuestionable
Brandin EcholsCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon JohnsonWide ReceiverQuestionable
Broderick JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable
Brodric Martin-RhodesDefensive TackleOut
Calvin Austin IIIWide ReceiverQuestionable
Cameron McCutcheonCornerbackInjured Reserve
Christian KuntzLong SnapperQuestionable
Chuck ClarkSafetyOut
Darius SlayCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

Why Divisional Games Are Riskier Than They Look(same division)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)