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Cleveland Browns vs Philadelphia Eagles

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Eagles is the better survivor pick this week

Eagles score 0.459 equity (68.1% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.244.

CLE team page →PHI team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponentvs WAS

22.3%Win prob68.1%

0.214Equity score0.459

+8.5Spread11/11 books−5.5

40.0Game total44.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.005

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · CLE 1 — PHI 6. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1589.5

#27ELO rank#3

5-12Record11-6

AFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#1

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 7 · W +1 · W +11 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB14.5 · #10

22.8 · #19vs RB22.9 · #20

26.9 · #8vs WR26.5 · #6

12.1 · #9vs TE8.3 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.39 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game8.17

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows19-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion36.4% · #28

11.2% · #15Play action10.1% · #23

3.0% · #25RPO5.4% · #14

4.2% · #11Screen pass2.1% · #32

7.5% · #12No huddle15.9% · #4

55.8% · #14Shotgun62.9% · #7

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage43.5% · #3

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)19.7% · #31

35.1% · #1Pressure32.8% · #8

CLE scheme profile →PHI scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Philadelphia Eagles

A.J. BrownWide ReceiverQuestionable
A.J. WoodsCornerbackQuestionable
Adoree' JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
AJ DillonRunning BackOut
Azeez OjulariLinebackerOut
Brandon JohnsonCornerbackQuestionable
Brett TothCenterOut
Byron YoungDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JurgensCenterOut
Cameron LatuTight EndOut
Dallas GoedertTight EndQuestionable
Darius CooperWide ReceiverQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)