NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Browns is the better survivor pick this week

Browns score 0.286 equity (39.8% win probability) against Jets at 0.189 — a real gap of 0.098.

CLE team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponent@ KC
39.8%Win prob19.7%
0.286Equity score0.189
+3.0Spread11/11 books+10.0
42.5Game total47.5
▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5CLE @ NYJ12-17 · NYJ

All-time series: 16 meetings · CLE 6 — NYJ 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1393.2
#18ELO rank#31
5-3Record2-6
AFC NorthDivisionAFC East
#3Division rank#3
L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB18.0 · #16
21.1 · #14vs RB21.8 · #17
29.3 · #11vs WR28.8 · #9
14.9 · #20vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)
8.71Pressures / game8.71
7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7
11.2% · #15Play action8.6% · #29
3.0% · #25RPO7.1% · #8
4.2% · #11Screen pass3.4% · #17
7.5% · #12No huddle8.1% · #10
55.8% · #14Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage40.5% · #6
28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13
35.1% · #1Pressure24.8% · #30
CLE scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

New York Jets

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
  • Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
  • Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
  • Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
  • Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
  • Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam JonesLinebackerOut
  • Chris Smith IISafetyOut
  • David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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