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Cleveland Browns vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Jets is the better survivor pick this week

Jets score 0.359 equity (47.2% win probability) against Browns at 0.215 — a real gap of 0.144.

CLE team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponent@ TEN

22.4%Win prob47.2%

0.215Equity score0.359

+8.5Spread11/11 books+1.5

40.0Game total38.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 5CLE @ NYJnot played yet

All-time series: 15 meetings · CLE 6 — NYJ 9. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1379.3

#27ELO rank#30

5-12Record3-14

AFC NorthDivisionAFC East

#4Division rank#4

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 27 · L 32 · L 23 · L 28 · L 24

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB19.9 · #31

22.8 · #19vs RB28.0 · #31

26.9 · #8vs WR30.3 · #16

12.1 · #9vs TE15.2 · #24

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game1.53 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game5.18

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7

11.2% · #15Play action8.6% · #29

3.0% · #25RPO7.1% · #8

4.2% · #11Screen pass3.4% · #17

7.5% · #12No huddle8.1% · #10

55.8% · #14Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage40.5% · #6

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13

35.1% · #1Pressure24.8% · #30

CLE scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

New York Jets

Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
Breece HallRBFull Participation in Practice
Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam JonesLinebackerOut
Chris Smith IISafetyOut
D'Angelo PondsCBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)