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Cleveland Browns vs New York Giants

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Giants is the better survivor pick this week

Giants score 0.324 equity (40.7% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.110.

CLE team page →NYG team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponentvs DAL

22.3%Win prob40.7%

0.214Equity score0.324

+8.5Spread11/11 books+3.0

40.0Game total48.0

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 15CLE @ NYGnot played yet

All-time series: 7 meetings · CLE 2 — NYG 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1390.8

#27ELO rank#28

5-12Record4-13

AFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#4

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstW +17 · W +24 · L 3 · L 8 · L 18

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB18.3 · #25

22.8 · #19vs RB25.8 · #29

26.9 · #8vs WR33.7 · #24

12.1 · #9vs TE11.4 · #8

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.24 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game8.41

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows3-18

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion30.8% · #32

11.2% · #15Play action10.8% · #18

3.0% · #25RPO9.3% · #2

4.2% · #11Screen pass3.1% · #20

7.5% · #12No huddle17.4% · #3

55.8% · #14Shotgun64.8% · #6

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage40.3% · #7

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)30.5% · #9

35.1% · #1Pressure30.2% · #17

CLE scheme profile →NYG scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

New York Giants

Andrew ThomasTFull Participation in Practice
Anthony Johnson Jr.SafetyOut
Art GreenCornerbackQuestionable
Bryan HudsonCFull Participation in Practice
Bryce Ford-WheatonWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cam SkatteboRunning BackOut
Chris BoardLinebackerQuestionable
Cor'Dale FlottCornerbackOut
Daniel BellingerTight EndQuestionable
Dante MillerRunning BackOut
Darius AlexanderDefensive TackleOut
Darius MuasauLinebackerQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)