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Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Saints is the better survivor pick this week

Saints score 0.250 equity (26.8% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.036.

CLE team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponent@ DET

22.3%Win prob26.8%

0.214Equity score0.250

+8.5Spread11/11 books+7.0

40.0Game total50.0

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9CLE @ NOnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · CLE 4 — NO 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1432.4

#27ELO rank#26

5-12Record6-11

AFC NorthDivisionNFC South

#4Division rank#4

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 2 · W +8 · W +23 · W +3 · W +4

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB14.0 · #8

22.8 · #19vs RB20.8 · #13

26.9 · #8vs WR27.8 · #12

12.1 · #9vs TE12.5 · #13

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.59 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game8.53

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows4-11

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8

11.2% · #15Play action9.6% · #25

3.0% · #25RPO4.7% · #15

4.2% · #11Screen pass2.7% · #26

7.5% · #12No huddle18.7% · #2

55.8% · #14Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage22.1% · #28

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21

35.1% · #1Pressure28.2% · #24

CLE scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

New Orleans Saints

Alontae TaylorCornerbackQuestionable
Alvin KamaraRBLimited Participation in Practice
Asim RichardsOffensive TackleQuestionable
Audric EstiméRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Barry WesleyOffensive TackleOut
Bryan BreseeDefensive TackleQuestionable
Bub MeansWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Cameron JordanLBDid Not Participate In Practice
Cesar RuizGuardOut
Chase YoungDefensive EndOut
Chris OlaveWide ReceiverOut
Davon GodchauxDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)