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Cleveland Browns vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Browns play Saints in Week 9

They face each other, so only one can be used this week. On real de-vigged market prices NO carries the higher survivor equity score.

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponentvs CLE
40.1%Win prob59.9%
0.289Equity score0.461
+3.0Spread11/11 books−3.0
42.5Game total42.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Head-to-head this week

week 9 · Caesars Superdome

Matchup
CLE @ NO
Spread (home)
−3.0 (11 books)
Total
42.5 (11 books)
Kickoff
Sun, 08 Nov 2026 18:00

Opened NO −3.8, now NO −3.0 · moved 0.8 toward CLE · Total 40.5 → 42.5 (+2.0)(243 snapshots)

No in-horizon weather forecast stored for this game yet.

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 9CLE @ NOnot played yet

All-time series: 8 meetings · CLE 4 — NO 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1436.2
#18ELO rank#28
5-3Record2-5
AFC NorthDivisionNFC South
#3Division rank#4
L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB—
21.1 · #14vs RB—
29.3 · #11vs WR—
14.9 · #20vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)
8.71Pressures / game7.29
7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows4-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8
11.2% · #15Play action9.6% · #25
3.0% · #25RPO4.7% · #15
4.2% · #11Screen pass2.7% · #26
7.5% · #12No huddle18.7% · #2
55.8% · #14Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage22.1% · #28
28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21
35.1% · #1Pressure28.2% · #24

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

New Orleans Saints

  • Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
  • Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
  • Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
  • CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
  • Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
  • Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
  • Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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