NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cleveland Browns vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Vikings is the better survivor pick this week

Vikings score 0.313 equity (39.0% win probability) against Browns at 0.286 — a real gap of 0.026.

CLE team page →MIN team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponentvs BUF
39.8%Win prob39.0%
0.286Equity score0.313
+3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0
42.5Game total45.0
▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.009

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 6 meetings · CLE 2 — MIN 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1570.6
#18ELO rank#4
5-3Record6-1
AFC NorthDivisionNFC North
#3Division rank#1
L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 4 · W +6 · W +10 · W +5 · W +7

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB7.8 · #1
21.1 · #14vs RB18.4 · #5
29.3 · #11vs WR25.9 · #4
14.9 · #20vs TE7.1 · #1

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game3.5 (2026)
8.71Pressures / game13.33
7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23
11.2% · #15Play action12.5% · #8
3.0% · #25RPO3.7% · #20
4.2% · #11Screen pass4.2% · #10
7.5% · #12No huddle6.1% · #15
55.8% · #14Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage19.0% · #32
28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1
35.1% · #1Pressure34.1% · #4
CLE scheme profile →MIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Minnesota Vikings

  • Aaron JonesRBFull Participation in Practice
  • Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
  • Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
  • Austin KeysLinebackerOut
  • Ben SimsTight EndOut
  • Ben YurosekTight EndOut
  • Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
  • Brian O'NeillTFull Participation in Practice
  • Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
  • Christian DarrisawTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Corey KinerRunning BackOut
  • Desmond RidderQuarterbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

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