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Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Browns is the better survivor pick this week

Browns score 0.286 equity (39.8% win probability) against Dolphins at 0.230 — a real gap of 0.056.

CLE team page →MIA team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponentvs DET

39.8%Win prob26.5%

0.286Equity score0.230

+3.0Spread11/11 books+7.0

42.5Game total50.5

▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 11 meetings · CLE 6 — MIA 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1442.8

#18ELO rank#27

5-3Record1-6

AFC NorthDivisionAFC East

#3Division rank#4

L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstL 5 · W +3 · L 7 · L 5 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB20.0 · #24

21.1 · #14vs RB26.5 · #25

29.3 · #11vs WR25.4 · #3

14.9 · #20vs TE19.2 · #26

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game1 (2026)

8.71Pressures / game6.83

7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows7-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion55.9% · #1

11.2% · #15Play action12.9% · #6

3.0% · #25RPO4.4% · #16

4.2% · #11Screen pass5.2% · #4

7.5% · #12No huddle3.1% · #28

55.8% · #14Shotgun57.9% · #13

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage28.4% · #21

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)33.1% · #5

35.1% · #1Pressure27.2% · #28

CLE scheme profile →MIA scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
Carsen RyanTight EndOut
Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Miami Dolphins

A.J. GreenCornerbackOut
AJ HenningWide ReceiverQuestionable
Alec IngoldFullbackQuestionable
Alexander MattisonRunning BackInjured Reserve
Andre Carter IILinebackerOut
Ashtyn DavisSafetyOut
Austin JacksonGuardOut
Benito JonesDefensive TackleQuestionable
Caleb JohnsonLinebackerQuestionable
Cedrick Wilson Jr.Wide ReceiverOut
Chop RobinsonLBLimited Participation in Practice
Cornell ArmstrongCornerbackQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)