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Cleveland Browns vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Chargers is the better survivor pick this week

Chargers score 0.551 equity (80.1% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.337.

CLE team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponentvs ARI

22.3%Win prob80.1%

0.214Equity score0.551

+8.5Spread11/11 books−9.5

40.0Game total47.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 14 meetings · CLE 3 — LAC 11. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1536.9

#27ELO rank#11

5-12Record11-6

AFC NorthDivisionAFC West

#4Division rank#2

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 13 · L 16 · L 4 · W +17 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB12.6 · #2

22.8 · #19vs RB18.7 · #3

26.9 · #8vs WR27.4 · #11

12.1 · #9vs TE10.5 · #4

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.78 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game8

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

11.2% · #15Play action11.5% · #14

3.0% · #25RPO2.0% · #27

4.2% · #11Screen pass2.8% · #25

7.5% · #12No huddle3.9% · #25

55.8% · #14Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage23.6% · #27

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

35.1% · #1Pressure31.3% · #12

CLE scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Bud DupreeLinebackerQuestionable
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Dez FitzpatrickWide ReceiverInjured Reserve
Donte JacksonCornerbackQuestionable
Elijah MoldenCornerbackOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(mentions Chargers)