NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cleveland Browns vs Jacksonville Jaguars

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Jaguars is the better survivor pick this week

Jaguars score 0.554 equity (80.4% win probability) against Browns at 0.286 — a real gap of 0.268.

CLE team page →JAX team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponent@ BAL
39.8%Win prob80.4%
0.286Equity score0.554
+3.0Spread11/11 books−10.0
42.5Game total39.5
▼ 0.003Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 1CLE @ JAX10-34 · JAX

All-time series: 19 meetings · CLE 8 — JAX 11. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1543.1
#18ELO rank#11
5-3Record5-2
AFC NorthDivisionAFC South
#3Division rank#1
L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstW +35 · L 3 · W +2 · W +5 · W +29

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB14.3 · #9
21.1 · #14vs RB17.0 · #2
29.3 · #11vs WR36.9 · #24
14.9 · #20vs TE11.0 · #7

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game1.67 (2026)
8.71Pressures / game9.5
7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows5-5

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion47.1% · #12
11.2% · #15Play action10.2% · #22
3.0% · #25RPO3.6% · #21
4.2% · #11Screen pass3.8% · #15
7.5% · #12No huddle6.1% · #16
55.8% · #14Shotgun50.5% · #24

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage25.4% · #26
28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)27.3% · #18
35.1% · #1Pressure27.9% · #26
CLE scheme profile →JAX scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Anton HarrisonOffensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Antonio JohnsonSLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bhayshul TutenRBQuestionable
  • Branson CombsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris Rodriguez Jr.RBLimited Participation in Practice
  • DaVon HamiltonDTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Eric MurraySDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Ezra ClevelandGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jakobi MeyersWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jarrian JonesCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Travon WalkerDEQuestionable

Relevant to this matchup

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