NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.291 equity (39.5% win probability) against Browns at 0.289 — a real gap of 0.003.

CLE team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ NOOpponent@ NE
40.1%Win prob39.5%
0.289Equity score0.291
+3.0Spread11/11 books+3.0
42.5Game total45.5
= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.006

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · CLE 2 — GB 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1475.0ELO rating1531.1
#18ELO rank#13
5-3Record5-3
AFC NorthDivisionNFC North
#3Division rank#4
L 21 · W +3 · W +3 · L 5 · W +3Last 5newest firstW +8 · L 3 · W +10 · W +24 · W +3

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

13.4 · #7vs QB12.6 · #5
21.1 · #14vs RB25.5 · #23
29.3 · #11vs WR35.0 · #22
14.9 · #20vs TE9.0 · #2

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2.86 (2026)Sacks / game2.75 (2026)
8.71Pressures / game9.38
7-9Primetime record2021–2026 standalone windows19-16-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15
11.2% · #15Play action11.7% · #12
3.0% · #25RPO7.9% · #4
4.2% · #11Screen pass3.3% · #18
7.5% · #12No huddle7.2% · #14
55.8% · #14Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage21.2% · #31
28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28
35.1% · #1Pressure30.7% · #16
CLE scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

  • Austin BarberTDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Carsen RyanTight EndOut
  • Carson SchwesingerLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Denzel BostonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Deshaun WatsonQBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Dillon GabrielQuarterbackInjured Reserve
  • Dylan SampsonRunning BackInjured Reserve
  • Elgton JenkinsCLimited Participation in Practice
  • Jared VerseDELimited Participation in Practice
  • Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLinebackerOut
  • Kalia DavisDefensive TackleInjured Reserve
  • Maliek CollinsDTDid Not Participate In Practice

Green Bay Packers

  • Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
  • Chris BrooksRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Christian WatsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
  • Devonte WyattDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Javon HargraveDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Jayden ReedWide ReceiverOut
  • Josh WhyleTEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Keisean NixonCBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Matthew GoldenWide ReceiverQuestionable
  • Micah ParsonsLBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Sean RhyanCDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Travis GloverGDid Not Participate In Practice

Relevant to this matchup

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