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Cleveland Browns vs Green Bay Packers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Packers is the better survivor pick this week

Packers score 0.368 equity (47.0% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.154.

CLE team page →GB team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponent@ MIN

22.3%Win prob47.0%

0.214Equity score0.368

+8.5Spread11/11 books+1.5

40.0Game total46.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · CLE 2 — GB 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1527.4

#27ELO rank#15

5-12Record9-7-1

AFC NorthDivisionNFC North

#4Division rank#2

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 4 · L 13 · L 17 · L 6 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB15.0 · #12

22.8 · #19vs RB21.9 · #17

26.9 · #8vs WR31.3 · #18

12.1 · #9vs TE12.1 · #10

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2.06 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game10

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows17-15-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion44.1% · #15

11.2% · #15Play action11.7% · #12

3.0% · #25RPO7.9% · #4

4.2% · #11Screen pass3.3% · #18

7.5% · #12No huddle7.2% · #14

55.8% · #14Shotgun52.2% · #21

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage21.2% · #31

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)21.9% · #28

35.1% · #1Pressure30.7% · #16

CLE scheme profile →GB scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Green Bay Packers

Aaron BanksGLimited Participation in Practice
Anthony BeltonOffensive TackleOut
Barryn SorrellLBLimited Participation in Practice
Bo MeltonCornerbackQuestionable
Brandon McManusPlace KickerOut
Brenton Cox Jr.Defensive EndQuestionable
Christian WatsonWide ReceiverOut
Collin OliverDefensive EndOut
Devonte WyattDTLimited Participation in Practice
Donovan JenningsGuardOut
Dontayvion WicksWide ReceiverQuestionable
Edgerrin CooperLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)