Compare

Cleveland Browns vs Denver Broncos

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Broncos is the better survivor pick this week

Broncos score 0.340 equity (43.2% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.125.

CLE team page →DEN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponent@ KC

22.3%Win prob43.2%

0.214Equity score0.340

+8.5Spread11/11 books+2.5

40.0Game total43.5

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▲ 0.003

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 12 meetings · CLE 2 — DEN 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1588.3

#27ELO rank#4

5-12Record14-3

AFC NorthDivisionAFC West

#4Division rank#1

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 3 · W +3 · W +16 · W +7 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB14.2 · #9

22.8 · #19vs RB17.0 · #1

26.9 · #8vs WR27.0 · #9

12.1 · #9vs TE13.7 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game4 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game13.05

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows10-11

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion39.9% · #25

11.2% · #15Play action12.5% · #7

3.0% · #25RPO7.0% · #9

4.2% · #11Screen pass5.5% · #3

7.5% · #12No huddle11.0% · #5

55.8% · #14Shotgun54.3% · #16

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage44.4% · #1

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)32.8% · #6

35.1% · #1Pressure33.7% · #5

CLE scheme profile →DEN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Denver Broncos

Alex ForsythCenterOut
Alex SingletonLinebackerOut
Cody SchraderRunning BackOut
D.J. JonesDefensive TackleOut
Delarrin Turner-YellSafetyQuestionable
Dre GreenlawLinebackerOut
Drew SandersLinebackerQuestionable
Elijah MooreWide ReceiverOut
Evan EngramTight EndOut
Frank CrumOffensive TackleOut
Garret WallowLinebackerQuestionable
Geron ChristianOffensive TackleOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)