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Cleveland Browns vs Dallas Cowboys

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Cowboys is the better survivor pick this week

Cowboys score 0.426 equity (59.3% win probability) against Browns at 0.214 — a real gap of 0.212.

CLE team page →DAL team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ JAXOpponent@ NYG

22.3%Win prob59.3%

0.214Equity score0.426

+8.5Spread11/11 books−3.0

40.0Game total48.0

▼ 0.001Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 6 meetings · CLE 1 — DAL 5. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1419.8ELO rating1485.3

#27ELO rank#19

5-12Record7-9-1

AFC NorthDivisionNFC East

#4Division rank#2

W +2 · W +7 · L 3 · L 28 · L 2Last 5newest firstL 17 · W +7 · L 17 · L 8 · L 14

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

13.3 · #5vs QB23.3 · #32

22.8 · #19vs RB25.7 · #28

26.9 · #8vs WR39.3 · #32

12.1 · #9vs TE12.3 · #12

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.12 (2025)Sacks / game2 (2025)

9.29Pressures / game10.76

6-9Primetime record2021–2024 standalone windows24-13-1

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

39.3% · #27Pre-snap motion47.1% · #11

11.2% · #15Play action13.0% · #5

3.0% · #25RPO4.1% · #18

4.2% · #11Screen pass2.7% · #27

7.5% · #12No huddle7.8% · #11

55.8% · #14Shotgun51.7% · #22

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

41.3% · #5Man coverage26.0% · #25

28.1% · #15Blitz (5+ rushers)28.4% · #12

35.1% · #1Pressure31.8% · #11

CLE scheme profile →DAL scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cleveland Browns

Adin HuntingtonDefensive EndQuestionable
Alex WrightDefensive EndOut
Anthony KendallCornerbackInjured Reserve
Blake WhiteheartTight EndQuestionable
Brenden BatesTight EndOut
Cam RobinsonOffensive TackleQuestionable
Cameron McGroneLinebackerQuestionable
Carson SchwesingerLBFull Participation in Practice
Cedric TillmanWide ReceiverOut
Cornelius LucasOffensive TackleOut
David NjokuTight EndOut
Dawand JonesOffensive TackleQuestionable

Dallas Cowboys

Ajani CorneliusTLimited Participation in Practice
Alijah ClarkSafetyOut
Bruce HarmonCornerbackQuestionable
Caelen CarsonCornerbackOut
CeeDee LambWide ReceiverOut
Christian MatthewCornerbackQuestionable
Cooper BeebeCenterQuestionable
DeMarvion OvershownLinebackerQuestionable
Donovan WilsonSafetyQuestionable
Earnest Brown IVDefensive EndQuestionable
Hakeem AdenijiOffensive TackleOut
Jack SanbornLinebackerOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)