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Cincinnati Bengals vs San Francisco 49ers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

49ers is the better survivor pick this week

49ers score 0.561 equity (79.4% win probability) against Bengals at 0.458 — a real gap of 0.103.

CIN team page →SF team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponentvs LV

60.5%Win prob79.4%

0.458Equity score0.561

−3.0Spread11/11 books−10.0

52.5Game total52.0

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.001

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 8 meetings · CIN 4 — SF 4. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1575.5

#15ELO rank#3

5-2Record6-1

AFC NorthDivisionNFC West

#2Division rank#1

W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 9 · W +6 · W +3 · W +10 · W +6

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB—

19.4 · #7vs RB—

32.8 · #16vs WR—

16.5 · #22vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game2.14 (2026)

10.67Pressures / game9.71

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows24-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion55.1% · #2

8.5% · #30Play action10.8% · #17

7.3% · #6RPO0.6% · #31

3.3% · #19Screen pass3.0% · #23

2.5% · #31No huddle3.7% · #26

67.0% · #3Shotgun45.0% · #27

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage26.6% · #24

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)22.6% · #25

29.4% · #22Pressure23.2% · #31

CIN scheme profile →SF scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

San Francisco 49ers

Christian KirkWRLimited Participation in Practice
Christian McCaffreyRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Deebo Samuel Sr.WRDid Not Participate In Practice
Demarcus RobinsonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Garret WallowLBLimited Participation in Practice
Kurtis RourkeQuarterbackOut
Luke GiffordLBLimited Participation in Practice
Marques SigleSLimited Participation in Practice
Mike EvansWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Mykel WilliamsDEFull Participation in Practice
Nate HobbsCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nick BosaDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)