NFL Survivor Edge

Compare

Cincinnati Bengals vs New York Jets

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.450 equity (60.7% win probability) against Jets at 0.196 — a real gap of 0.254.

CIN team page →NYJ team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponent@ KC
60.7%Win prob19.6%
0.450Equity score0.196
−3.0Spread11/11 books+10.0
52.5Game total47.5
▲ 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 13 meetings · CIN 5 — NYJ 8. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1393.2
#15ELO rank#31
5-2Record2-6
AFC NorthDivisionAFC East
#2Division rank#3
W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 5 · L 3 · L 7 · W +5 · L 11

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB18.0 · #16
19.4 · #7vs RB21.8 · #17
32.8 · #16vs WR28.8 · #9
16.5 · #22vs TE13.9 · #16

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game2.71 (2026)
10.67Pressures / game8.71
16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows3-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion49.8% · #7
8.5% · #30Play action8.6% · #29
7.3% · #6RPO7.1% · #8
3.3% · #19Screen pass3.4% · #17
2.5% · #31No huddle8.1% · #10
67.0% · #3Shotgun59.8% · #8

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage40.5% · #6
17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)28.3% · #13
29.4% · #22Pressure24.8% · #30
CIN scheme profile →NYJ scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

  • Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
  • B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
  • Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
  • Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
  • Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
  • Cordell VolsonGuardOut
  • Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
  • DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
  • Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
  • Dylan FairchildGuardOut

New York Jets

  • Adonai MitchellWide ReceiverOut
  • Allen LazardWide ReceiverOut
  • Andre CiscoSafetyQuestionable
  • Arian SmithWide ReceiverOut
  • Azareye'h ThomasCornerbackQuestionable
  • Braelon AllenRunning BackOut
  • Breece HallRBLimited Participation in Practice
  • Bump CooperCornerbackInjured Reserve
  • Byron CowartDefensive TackleQuestionable
  • Cam JonesLinebackerOut
  • Chris Smith IISafetyOut
  • David BaileyDELimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

Track your real pool free — 10-day trial, no card →