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Cincinnati Bengals vs New Orleans Saints

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Saints is the better survivor pick this week

Saints score 0.461 equity (59.9% win probability) against Bengals at 0.458 — a real gap of 0.003.

CIN team page →NO team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponentvs CLE

60.5%Win prob59.9%

0.458Equity score0.461

−3.0Spread11/11 books−3.0

52.5Game total42.5

▲ 0.008Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot= 0.000

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

Week 12NO @ CINnot played yet

All-time series: 6 meetings · CIN 4 — NO 2. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1436.2

#15ELO rank#28

5-2Record2-5

AFC NorthDivisionNFC South

#2Division rank#4

W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 6 · W +7 · L 10 · L 21 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB—

19.4 · #7vs RB—

32.8 · #16vs WR—

16.5 · #22vs TE—

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game2.57 (2026)

10.67Pressures / game7.29

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows4-12

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion49.7% · #8

8.5% · #30Play action9.6% · #25

7.3% · #6RPO4.7% · #15

3.3% · #19Screen pass2.7% · #26

2.5% · #31No huddle18.7% · #2

67.0% · #3Shotgun65.7% · #5

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage22.1% · #28

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)25.6% · #21

29.4% · #22Pressure28.2% · #24

CIN scheme profile →NO scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

New Orleans Saints

Alvin KamaraRBDid Not Participate In Practice
Asim RichardsTLimited Participation in Practice
Cesar RuizGFull Participation in Practice
Christen MillerDefensive TackleOut
CJ DonaldsonRBLimited Participation in Practice
Davon GodchauxDefensive TackleQuestionable
Decamerion RichardsonCornerbackOut
Jordyn TysonWRLimited Participation in Practice
Justin ReidSFull Participation in Practice
Kelvin Banks Jr.TLimited Participation in Practice
Martin EmersonCBLimited Participation in Practice
Nathan ShepherdDTFull Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)