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Cincinnati Bengals vs Minnesota Vikings

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 1 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.440 equity (64.4% win probability) against Vikings at 0.382 — a real gap of 0.058.

CIN team page →MIN team page →

This week

2026 week 1 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

vs TBOpponentvs GB

64.4%Win prob53.0%

0.440Equity score0.382

−3.5Spread11/11 books−1.5

50.5Game total46.5

▲ 0.004Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.002

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 7 meetings · CIN 4 — MIN 3. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2025 · week 1

1474.0ELO rating1547.9

#22ELO rank#10

6-11Record9-8

AFC NorthDivisionNFC North

#3Division rank#4

L 2 · W +23 · W +24 · L 24 · L 5Last 5newest firstW +13 · W +13 · W +3 · W +8 · W +31

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2025 through week 18 · lower rank = tougher

18.4 · #26vs QB11.1 · #1

28.6 · #32vs RB19.6 · #9

25.3 · #2vs WR23.7 · #1

20.9 · #31vs TE10.7 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

2 (2025)Sacks / game2.88 (2025)

7.12Pressures / game9.06

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows11-13

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion41.3% · #23

8.5% · #30Play action12.5% · #8

7.3% · #6RPO3.7% · #20

3.3% · #19Screen pass4.2% · #10

2.5% · #31No huddle6.1% · #15

67.0% · #3Shotgun45.6% · #26

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage19.0% · #32

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)46.2% · #1

29.4% · #22Pressure34.1% · #4

CIN scheme profile →MIN scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 1 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDTLimited Participation in Practice
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDefensive EndQuestionable
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICBLimited Participation in Practice
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Minnesota Vikings

Aaron Jones Sr.Running BackQuestionable
Adam ThielenWide ReceiverOut
Andrew Van GinkelLinebackerOut
Austin KeysLinebackerOut
Ben SimsTight EndOut
Ben YurosekTight EndOut
Brett RypienQuarterbackOut
Brian O'NeillOffensive TackleOut
Caleb TiernanTLimited Participation in Practice
Chaz ChamblissLinebackerOut
Christian DarrisawOffensive TackleOut
Corey KinerRunning BackOut

Relevant to this matchup

2026 Week 1 Path Survival Alert: Detroit Lions Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 1 path survival)
2026 Week 1 Scarcity Divergence: Tennessee Titans Ranks Higher on Season Path Than on This Week's Odds(week 1 scarcity divergence)
2026 Week 1 Survivor Picks: Los Angeles Chargers Lead the Board(week 1 weekly picks)