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Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Chargers

Real survivor-pool comparison built on the same validated tables the team pages use — de-vigged market win probability and equity, spreads and totals, ELO ranks, defense vs position, charted scheme tendencies, recent form and current injuries. Green marks the better league rank.

Week 9 verdict

Bengals is the better survivor pick this week

Bengals score 0.458 equity (60.5% win probability) against Chargers at 0.263 — a real gap of 0.196.

CIN team page →LAC team page →

This week

2026 week 9 · de-vigged consensus from live_game_lines + equity_scores

@ ATLOpponentvs HOU

60.5%Win prob32.3%

0.458Equity score0.263

−3.0Spread11/11 books+5.5

52.5Game total40.5

= 0.000Equity trendsince previous stored snapshot▼ 0.007

Season series

2026 scheduled meetings

These two teams are not scheduled to meet this season.

All-time series: 15 meetings · CIN 5 — LAC 10. See the full head-to-head history →

Power rating & record

elo through 2026 · week 9

1514.0ELO rating1462.4

#15ELO rank#23

5-2Record0-7

AFC NorthDivisionAFC West

#2Division rank#4

W +7 · W +22 · W +7 · L 5 · L 3Last 5newest firstL 15 · L 16 · L 6 · L 7 · L 8

Defense vs position

ppr allowed per game · 2026 through week 8 · lower rank = tougher

17.8 · #15vs QB13.5 · #8

19.4 · #7vs RB23.9 · #19

32.8 · #16vs WR30.6 · #14

16.5 · #22vs TE10.2 · #5

Pass rush & primetime — descriptive only

tested and published as flat: neither predicts survivor outcomes beyond the market

3.5 (2026)Sacks / game1.83 (2026)

10.67Pressures / game7.67

16-10Primetime record2021–2025 standalone windows15-16

Both of these are context, not edge. Our own tests found DL strength (finding #10) and primetime risk (finding #11) statistically flat once the market price is accounted for.

Scheme tendencies — offense

ftn charting · 2025 season · rank 1 = highest rate

42.1% · #20Pre-snap motion42.2% · #19

8.5% · #30Play action11.5% · #14

7.3% · #6RPO2.0% · #27

3.3% · #19Screen pass2.8% · #25

2.5% · #31No huddle3.9% · #25

67.0% · #3Shotgun59.0% · #10

Scheme tendencies — defense

nflverse participation · 2025 season

36.6% · #11Man coverage23.6% · #27

17.6% · #32Blitz (5+ rushers)22.1% · #27

29.4% · #22Pressure31.3% · #12

CIN scheme profile →LAC scheme profile →

Injury report

2026 week 9 · nflverse + highlightly

Cincinnati Bengals

Amarius MimsOffensive TackleQuestionable
B.J. HillDefensive TackleQuestionable
Cam GrandyTight EndQuestionable
Cam SampleDefensive EndOut
Cam Taylor-BrittCornerbackQuestionable
Cedric JohnsonDEDid Not Participate In Practice
Charlie JonesWide ReceiverOut
Cordell VolsonGuardOut
Dalton RisnerGuardQuestionable
DJ Turner IICBDid Not Participate In Practice
Drew SampleTight EndQuestionable
Dylan FairchildGuardOut

Los Angeles Chargers

Benjamin St-JusteCornerbackOut
Bobby HartOffensive TackleOut
Bradley BozemanCenterOut
Brenen ThompsonWRDid Not Participate In Practice
Bud DupreeDELimited Participation in Practice
Cam HartCornerbackOut
Da'Shawn HandDefensive TackleQuestionable
Daiyan HenleyLBLimited Participation in Practice
David NjokuTELimited Participation in Practice
Deane LeonardCBDid Not Participate In Practice
Del'Shawn PhillipsLinebackerOut
Denzel PerrymanLBLimited Participation in Practice

Relevant to this matchup

The Case for Home Underdogs in Survivor Pools(a home underdog is on the board)
2026 Week 9 Path Survival Alert: Jacksonville Jaguars Drifts Up in the Simulations(week 9 path survival)
2026 Week 9 Weather Watch: Arizona Cardinals at Seattle Seahawks Tops the Forecast(week 9 weather watch)
2026 Week 9 Survivor Picks: Kansas City Chiefs Lead the Board(week 9 weekly picks)